Papaumau, Ide like to think you are wrong, and I honestly believe you are ,because pensioners will suffer under another Tory government, the benefits will go.
I feel that either New Labour will win, or there will be a hung Parliament, I would like to see the Lib-Dems in government with a whopping majority, but pigs cant fly so there you are.
I honestly cannot see a New-Labour win at the next GE for all of the reasons already discussed, BUT...I also cannot see The Tories getting enough votes to manage a majority big enough to form a government with as they are slipping in the opinion polls every day.
A "hung" parliament means that neither of the big two are going to have enough seats to form a government and the next most powerful party - probably the Liberal Democrats - will be the party that will be the power-brokers.
As it is almost certain that the Lib Dems will not get enough seats to form a single government either, I can see a tripartite government coming that will have to behave itself much better than the big two have done in the past twenty or more years.
I guess that only time will tell about that !